First bitcoin sale since 2022 sparks debate over accumulation strategy shift

Strategy sold 32 bitcoin between May 26 and May 31 at an average price of $77,135, generating approximately $2.5 million to fund dividend payments on its perpetual preferred stock. The sale marked the company’s first bitcoin transaction in four years and prompted immediate disagreement among analysts about whether it signals a departure from its long-standing accumulation posture.

Strategy disclosed the sale via 8-K filing on June 1. The 32 bitcoin represented approximately 0.004% of the company’s total holdings of 843,700 BTC at the end of May. Alongside the bitcoin sale, Strategy sold 801,944 shares of common stock and repurchased $1.5 billion of convertible debt at a discount.

Lance Vitanza, analyst at TD Cowen, characterized the transaction as routine. “Headlines suggesting that Strategy has meaningfully reduced its bitcoin position are, in our view, misleading,” Vitanza said. “The transaction was economically immaterial and does not alter the core accumulation thesis.” TD Cowen’s model had already anticipated small tactical sales of this scale.

Mark Palmer, analyst at Benchmark, similarly viewed the sale as immaterial but offered a different interpretation of its strategic significance. Palmer noted that Strategy is unlikely to rely on bitcoin sales as a primary funding mechanism for perpetual preferred dividends. “We do not expect Strategy to use bitcoin sales as a primary means of funding dividends on STRC and its other perpetual preferred stock issues,” Palmer said. “It is far more likely that the company will continue to replenish its cash reserve through equity issuance and then use reserve funds to pay dividends.”

Palmer added that the sale nonetheless established a new precedent. “Now, investors should view Strategy’s bitcoin holdings as providing a viable backstop for the funding of preferred dividends,” he said.

Mark Connors, chief investment officer at Risk Dimensions, interpreted the sale more critically. Connors argued that the transaction signaled a willingness to compromise on bitcoin preservation. “By selling bitcoin, Saylor has stated two things,” Connors said. “First, we will support our shareholders and creditors in every way, including by selling bitcoin. Second, Saylor and Strategy have prioritized the health and perception of health of the MSTR capital structure over being a diamond-handed OG.”

Michael Saylor, Strategy’s Executive Chairman, previously stated he would never sell bitcoin. The company has discussed the possibility of limited bitcoin sales on several recent occasions as part of a broader financing strategy. Most analysts agree the 32-bitcoin sale was too small to materially alter Strategy’s long-term accumulation trajectory, even as they diverge on what the precedent means for future capital decisions.

Market reaction

Strategy stock declined 5% on Monday as bitcoin prices fell near a two-month low of $71,000. TD Cowen maintains a $400 price target on Strategy stock.