BTC drops to $72,395 while S&P 500, Dow reach record highs
Bitcoin fell to its lowest levels since mid-April on Friday, with BTC trading around $72,395 at the US stock market open on Bitstamp. The decline marked a sharp divergence from traditional equities, where the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average reached new record highs, driven by anticipation of a lasting ceasefire between the US and Iran.
Trader and analyst Michaël van de Poppe identified the $72,000 to $74,000 range as crucial support. “Bitcoin is about to collapse to lows, if this level of support doesn’t hold. That’s just the reality. Anything between $72,000-74,000 is crucial and could be the end of the correction, especially if Trump comes with a new deal –> rates go down –> oil goes down –> risk-on assets (especially crypto) go higher,” van de Poppe said.
If that support fails, the downside risk extends further. “If that doesn’t happen, then we’re about to witness another leg towards the lows and probably new lows on the altcoin markets,” van de Poppe added.
Material Indicators flagged a cluster of liquidations around $76,000 and identified a developing head-and-shoulders pattern that could drive Bitcoin toward the $68,000 to $69,000 range, referencing Q2 Timescape R/S Levels. The trading resource warned to “expect volatility” as Sunday’s joint daily, weekly, and monthly close approached.
Technical battlegrounds are forming around Bitcoin’s 100-day simple moving average at $72,972. Material Indicators noted that bulls’ ability to rally from this level and the trajectory of the weekly relative strength index after the weekly close would be “big tells” for the direction ahead.
Market structure shows signs of stress. The CGT Trader account observed a “long squeeze loading” pattern, noting that “price continues to range while funding stays heavily positive and open interest keeps declining. That usually suggests the market is still leaning aggressively long, even as some participants are already closing positions and derisking.”
Spot volume in Bitcoin markets has continued to fade, pointing toward underlying weakness in demand. Total 24-hour cross-crypto liquidations exceeded $200 million at the time of reporting. Bulls will need to defend the $72,000 to $74,000 support zone to prevent further capitulation, while a rally above $77,000 would be required to establish the next leg upward.